Possible Scenarios of the Development of the Ukrainian Events

Possible scenarios of the development of Ukrainian events are considered. Probabilities of emergence of civil war and potential of the Maidan are estimated. Ukrainian prospects of «movement by the European way» within the project of cooperation with the European Union are revealed. The most critical option of «intra-Slavic war» is presented. Reflections about actuating of the «Libyan option» and the «Egyptian project» in conditions of split of Ukraine are stated. The authors suggest their own alternative option when there is necessity for leader capable to unite two parts of one state, for new economic strategy based on own production and for a sensible assessment of prospects and risks of cooperation with the West and with Russia.