Regional characteristics of migration age structure in the Russian Far East
Research Article
Acknowledgments
The reported study was funded by RSF, project No. 24–28–01046. URL: https://rscf.ru/ project/24–28–01046/.
How to Cite
Moiseeva E.M., Mishchuk S.N. Regional characteristics of migration age structure in the Russian Far East. Population. 2024. Vol. 27. No. 4. P. 18-33. DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2024-4-18-33 (in Russ.).
Abstract
The relevance of the research is due to the large role of migration in population formation in the Far East of Russia against the background of its continuing decline. Quantitative and qualitative analysis of target groups including certain age groups of the permanent population and migrants increases the effectiveness of migration policy enhancing its targeting. The article is based on a demographic approach, which allows us to assess changes and the relationship of the main demographic characteristics of different categories of the population of the Russian Far East. The purpose of the research is to study the age profile of migrants and the impact of migration on the age structure of the permanent population of the regions of the Far East at the present stage. The empirical base is the array of secondary data from Rosstat for 2018–2022 with details by age, subjects of the Far Eastern Federal District and territories of the origin and destination of migrants. To process the data, the authors use statistical methods: analysis of absolute and relative values, calculation of coefficients, cluster analysis. The selected groups of regions reflect general trends and specific features in the migration of population in different ages: the level of territorial mobility, volumes and directions of movements, the effectiveness of these processes, the degree of their influence on the age structure of the resident population. The results obtained made it possible to identify regional features of the migration age profile in the Far Eastern Federal District and assess its role in the formation of the permanent population, as well as formulate a number of hypotheses regarding the likely factors determining the intensity and directions of population movements of different age groups in the considered regions of the Far East. It is shown that most regions, regardless of the effectiveness of migration processes, are united by the departure of young people aged 15–19 years, the influx of the population at young working age (20–24 years and older), and the intensive outflow of migrants of pre-retirement and retirement age after completion of their working career.
Keywords:
migration, resident population, age structure, cluster analysis, regional characteristics, Far East
References
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18. Avdeev Yu. A. Faktor migratsii v demograficheskom razvitii rossiyskogo Dal’nego Vostoka [Migration factor in the demographic development of the Russian Far East]. Migratsiya i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoye razvitiye [Migration and Socio-Economic Development]. 2017. Vol. 2. No. 3. P. 125– 140. DOI: 10.18334/migration.2.3.38976 (in Russ.)
19. Kutovaya S. V. Migratsionnyye nastroyeniya naseleniya Yevreyskoy avtonomnoy oblasti [Migration intensions of the population of the Jewish Autonomous Oblast]. Sotsiologicheskiye issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2014. No. 6(362). P. 134–136 (in Russ.)
20. Makar S. V., Yarasheva A. V., Simagin Yu. A. Prostranstvennoye razvitiye Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii: demograficheskiye i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskiye faktory [Spatial development of the Russian Far East: demographic and socio-economic factors]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2021. Vol. 24. No. 1. P. 117–130. DOI: 10.19181/population.2021.24.1.11 (in Russ.)
21. Abrosimova E. E., Yagafarova E. U. Migratsionnyye nastroyeniya sovremennoy molod’ozhi Primorskogo kraya [Migration intentions of modern youth in Primorsky Krai]. Territoriya novykh vozmozhnostey. Vestnik Vladivostokskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta ekonomiki i servisa [The Теrritory of New Opportunities. The Herald of Vladivostok State University of Economics and Service]. 2022. Vol. 14. No. 3(56). P. 189–198. DOI: 10.24866/VVSU/2073-3984/2022-3/189-198 (in Russ.)
22. Zubkov V. V. Migratsionnyy potentsial molod’ozhi v sisteme mer gosudarstvennoy regional’noy politiki [Migration potential of youth in the system of state regional policy measures]. Vlast’ i upravleniye na Vostoke Rossii [Power and Administration in the East of Russia]. 2019. No. 1(86). P. 147–155. (in Russ.)
23. Averina Yu. N., Kutovaya S. V., Nikitenko V. N., Solovchenkov S. A. Starozhily Dal’nego Vostoka o vozmozhnostyakh ukoreneniya naseleniya v regione [Opinion of the Russian Far East residents of the conditions for settling down in the region]. Regional’nyye problemy [Regional Problems]. 2016. Vol. 19. No. 2. P. 75–79. (in Russ.)
24. Nikitenko V. N. Determinanty ukoreneniya naseleniya na rossiyskom Dal’nem Vostoke [Acceleration determinants of the population of the Russian Far East]. Oykumena. Regionovedcheskiye issledovaniya [Ojkumena. Regional Researches]. 2016. No. 1(36). P. 87–93. (in Russ.)
25. Neverova G. P. Tendentsii protsessa migratsii v regione s uchotom vozrastnoy struktury naseleniya [Migration trends in the Jewish Autonomous Oblast based on the population age structure]. Regional’nyye problemy [Regional Problems]. 2010. Vol. 13. No. 2. P. 117–121. (in Russ.)
26. Khavinson M. Yu., Kulakov M. P. Modelirovaniye dinamiki chislennosti vozrastnykh grupp zanyatykh v yuzhnykh regionakh Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii [Modeling the Dynamics of the Number of Age Groups Employed in the Southern Regions of the Russian Far East]. EKO [ECO]. 2017. No. 2(512). P. 146–152. (in Russ.)
27. Khavinson M. Yu. Modelirovaniye nelineynoy dinamiki urovnya zanyatosti v regione (na primere regionov yuga Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii) [Modeling of nonlinear dynamics of employment rate in a region (in the case study of the regions of the south of the Russian Far East)]. Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Seriya: Ekonomika [Perm University Herald. Economy]. 2017. Vol. 12. No. 4. P. 575–591. DOI: 10.17072/1994-9960-2017-4-575-591 (in Russ.)
2. Motrich E. L. Migratsiya v demograficheskom razvitii rossiyskogo Dal’nego Vostoka [Migration in the demographic development of the Russian Far East]. Uroven’ zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia]. 2022. Vol. 18. No. 1. P. 27–40. DOI: 10.19181/lsprr.2022.18.1.2 (in Russ.)
3. Mishchuk S. N. Transformatsiya mezhdunarodnoy trudovoy migratsii na Dal’nem Vostoke Rossii v postsovetskiy period [Transformation of international labor migration in the Russian Far East in the post-Soviet period]. Geografiya i prirodnyye resursy [Geography and Natural Resources]. 2023. Vol. 44. No. 4. P. 137–147. DOI: 10.15372/GIPR20230414 (in Russ.)
4. Motrich E. L., Berezutsky Yu. V. Migratsiya v demograficheskom razvitii Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii: problemy i sotsial’nyye posledstviya [Migration in the demographic development of the Russian Far East: problems and social consequences]. Sotsial’naya politika i sotsiologiya [Social Policy and Sociology]. 2018. Vol. 17. No. 2(127). P. 141–150. DOI: 10.17922/2071-3665-2018-17-2-141-150 (in Russ.)
5. Vorobyova O. D. Rynok truda i migratsiya naseleniya Dal’nego Vostoka [Labor market and migration in the Far East]. Uroven’ zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia]. 2017. No. 2(204). P. 35–40. (in Russ.)
6. Raymer J. et al. Modelling the Age and Sex Profiles of Net International Migration. UN Department of Economics and Social Affairs, Population Division. Technical paper No. UN DESA/POP/2023/TP/ No.7. New York. UN. 2023. 34 p.
7. Mkrtchyan N. V. Vozrastnoy profil’ vnutrirossiyskoy trudovoy migratsii i inykh form prostranstvennoy mobil’nosti naseleniya [Age profile of Russian internal labor migration and other forms of spatial population mobility]. Regionalnyye Issledovaniya [Regional Studies]. 2018. No. 1(59). P. 72–81. (in Russ.)
8. Reutov E. V., Reutova M. N., Shavyrina I. V. Zhiznennyy uspekh i shansy na yego dostizheniye v predstavleniyakh zhiteley rossiyskoy provintsii [Life success and chances for its achievement in the representations of the inhabitants of the Russian province]. Sotsiologicheskiye issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2020. No. 6. P. 61–71. DOI: 10.31857/S013216250009480-1 (in Russ.)
9. Goltsova E. V. Migratsionnoye povedeniye molodozhi Irkutskoy oblasti [Migration behavior of young people in Irkutsk oblast]. Sotsiologicheskiye issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2017. No. 5. P. 103–109. (in Russ.)
10. Khalikova S. S. Zhiznennyye strategii dal’nevostochnoy molod’ozhi [Life strategies of Far Eastern youth]. Vlast’ i upravleniye na Vostoke Rossii [Power and Administration in the East of Russia]. 2022. No. 1(98). P. 117–124. DOI: 10.22394/1818-4049-2022-98-1-117-124 (in Russ.)
11. Berezutsky Yu. V. Sotsial’naya aktivnost’ molod’ozhi regiona: sotsiologicheskiy analiz [Social Activity of the Region Youth: Sociological Analysis]. Khabarovsk. Dal’nevostochnyy institut upravleniya — filial RANKhiGS [Far Eastern Institute of Management — Branch of RANEPA]. 2019. 174 p. (in Russ.)
12. Vaschuk A. S. Far Eastern factor in the socio-demographic processes in Russia in the second half of the XX century. [Russia and the Pacific]. 2012. No. 3(77). P. 80–90.
13. Rybakovsky O. L., Tayunova O. A. Migratsionnaya situatsiya na Dal’nem Vostoke Rossii v nachale 21 veka [Migration situation in the Far East of Russia at the beginning of the 21st century]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2019. Vol. 22. No. 3. P. 4–14. DOI: 10.24411/1561-7785-2019-00023 (in Russ.)
14. Zorin D. P., Medved V. A. Migration processes in the Russian Far East: main trends, structure and consequences. [Labour and Social Relations]. 2023. Vol. 34. No. 4. P. 159–172. DOI: 10.20410/2073-7815-2023-34-4-159-171.
15. Sinkevich Ya. Yu. Demograficheskaya i migratsionnaya situatsiya na Dal’nem Vostoke Rossii: retrospektiva i sovremennost’ (na primere Primorskogo kraya) [Demographic and migration situation in the Far East of Russia: retrospective and nowadays (Primrosy region as an example)]. Territoriya novykh vozmozhnostey. Vestnik Vladivostokskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta ekonomiki i servisa [The Territory of New Opportunities. The Herald of Vladivostok State University of Economics and Service]. 2013. No. 4(22). P. 186–198. (in Russ.)
16. Simagin Yu. A., Murtuzalieva D. D. Demograficheskiye problemy geostrategicheskikh territoriy Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii [Demographic problems of geostrategic territories of the Russian Far East]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2020. Vol. 23. No. 4. P. 153–160. DOI: 10.19181/population.2020.23.4.14 (in Russ.)
17. Khramova M. N., Tyshkevich A. I. Rossiyskiy Dal’niy Vostok: uyti nel’zya ostat’sya. Infrastruktura kak faktor migratsionnoy privlekatel’nosti regionov DFO [The Russian Far East: leave or stay. Infrastructure as a factor of migration attractiveness of the Far Eastern Federal District]. Nauchnoye obozreniye. Seriya 1: Ekonomika i pravo [Scientific Review. Series 1. Economics and Law]. 2021. № 4–5. P. 65–81. DOI: 10.26653/2076-4650-2021-4-5-06 (in Russ.)
18. Avdeev Yu. A. Faktor migratsii v demograficheskom razvitii rossiyskogo Dal’nego Vostoka [Migration factor in the demographic development of the Russian Far East]. Migratsiya i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoye razvitiye [Migration and Socio-Economic Development]. 2017. Vol. 2. No. 3. P. 125– 140. DOI: 10.18334/migration.2.3.38976 (in Russ.)
19. Kutovaya S. V. Migratsionnyye nastroyeniya naseleniya Yevreyskoy avtonomnoy oblasti [Migration intensions of the population of the Jewish Autonomous Oblast]. Sotsiologicheskiye issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2014. No. 6(362). P. 134–136 (in Russ.)
20. Makar S. V., Yarasheva A. V., Simagin Yu. A. Prostranstvennoye razvitiye Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii: demograficheskiye i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskiye faktory [Spatial development of the Russian Far East: demographic and socio-economic factors]. Narodonaselenie [Population]. 2021. Vol. 24. No. 1. P. 117–130. DOI: 10.19181/population.2021.24.1.11 (in Russ.)
21. Abrosimova E. E., Yagafarova E. U. Migratsionnyye nastroyeniya sovremennoy molod’ozhi Primorskogo kraya [Migration intentions of modern youth in Primorsky Krai]. Territoriya novykh vozmozhnostey. Vestnik Vladivostokskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta ekonomiki i servisa [The Теrritory of New Opportunities. The Herald of Vladivostok State University of Economics and Service]. 2022. Vol. 14. No. 3(56). P. 189–198. DOI: 10.24866/VVSU/2073-3984/2022-3/189-198 (in Russ.)
22. Zubkov V. V. Migratsionnyy potentsial molod’ozhi v sisteme mer gosudarstvennoy regional’noy politiki [Migration potential of youth in the system of state regional policy measures]. Vlast’ i upravleniye na Vostoke Rossii [Power and Administration in the East of Russia]. 2019. No. 1(86). P. 147–155. (in Russ.)
23. Averina Yu. N., Kutovaya S. V., Nikitenko V. N., Solovchenkov S. A. Starozhily Dal’nego Vostoka o vozmozhnostyakh ukoreneniya naseleniya v regione [Opinion of the Russian Far East residents of the conditions for settling down in the region]. Regional’nyye problemy [Regional Problems]. 2016. Vol. 19. No. 2. P. 75–79. (in Russ.)
24. Nikitenko V. N. Determinanty ukoreneniya naseleniya na rossiyskom Dal’nem Vostoke [Acceleration determinants of the population of the Russian Far East]. Oykumena. Regionovedcheskiye issledovaniya [Ojkumena. Regional Researches]. 2016. No. 1(36). P. 87–93. (in Russ.)
25. Neverova G. P. Tendentsii protsessa migratsii v regione s uchotom vozrastnoy struktury naseleniya [Migration trends in the Jewish Autonomous Oblast based on the population age structure]. Regional’nyye problemy [Regional Problems]. 2010. Vol. 13. No. 2. P. 117–121. (in Russ.)
26. Khavinson M. Yu., Kulakov M. P. Modelirovaniye dinamiki chislennosti vozrastnykh grupp zanyatykh v yuzhnykh regionakh Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii [Modeling the Dynamics of the Number of Age Groups Employed in the Southern Regions of the Russian Far East]. EKO [ECO]. 2017. No. 2(512). P. 146–152. (in Russ.)
27. Khavinson M. Yu. Modelirovaniye nelineynoy dinamiki urovnya zanyatosti v regione (na primere regionov yuga Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii) [Modeling of nonlinear dynamics of employment rate in a region (in the case study of the regions of the south of the Russian Far East)]. Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Seriya: Ekonomika [Perm University Herald. Economy]. 2017. Vol. 12. No. 4. P. 575–591. DOI: 10.17072/1994-9960-2017-4-575-591 (in Russ.)
Article
Received: 23.03.2024
Accepted: 06.12.2024
Citation Formats
Other cite formats:
APA
Moiseeva, E. M., & Mishchuk, S. N. (2024). Regional characteristics of migration age structure in the Russian Far East. Population, 27(4), 18-33. https://doi.org/10.24412/1561-7785-2024-4-18-33
Section
DEMOGRAPHY: THEORY AND PRACTICE ISSUES
